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Liga Leumit · Israel
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Kfar Saba host Hapoel Afula in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hapoel Kfar Saba had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 24. Hapoel Afula had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hapoel Kfar Saba's last 10 and 5 of Hapoel Afula's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Kfar Saba averaged 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hapoel Afula averaged 1.56 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Hapoel Kfar Saba and 2.04 from Hapoel Afula. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 42%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Kfar Saba (green) and Hapoel Afula (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | WLLLL | 1.50 | 2.40 | 50% | 60% |
| Hapoel Afula | DWDWD | 1.80 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Yam SC · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ra'anana · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Bnei Raina · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44