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Liga Leumit · Israel
Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Bnei Raina prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ironi Modi'in host Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ironi Modi'in had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Maccabi Bnei Raina had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ironi Modi'in's last 10 and 7 of Maccabi Bnei Raina's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ironi Modi'in averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Maccabi Bnei Raina averaged 1.33 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Ironi Modi'in and 1.27 from Maccabi Bnei Raina. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 32%, against 32%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ironi Modi'in (green) and Maccabi Bnei Raina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modi'in | WLWLL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | DDLLW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Yam SC · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ra'anana · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44