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First League · Bulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Slavia Sofia in the First League (Bulgaria) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Slavia Sofia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 10 and 5 of Slavia Sofia's last 10; 1 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv Plovdiv averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Slavia Sofia averaged 1.09 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.83 from Slavia Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 30%, against 44%, 30% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotiv Plovdiv (green) and Slavia Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | WWDWD | 0.90 | 0.90 | 30% | 10% |
| Slavia Sofia | WLWLD | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Cherno More Varna Win @ 1.62 - CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33