Home › League stats › Major League Soccer › DC United vs New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer · USA
DC United vs New York Red Bulls prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
DC United host New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls.
Going into the match, DC United had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. New York Red Bulls had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of DC United's last 10 and 4 of New York Red Bulls's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home DC United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home New York Red Bulls averaged 1.09 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from DC United and 1.13 from New York Red Bulls. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 50%, 23% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between DC United (green) and New York Red Bulls (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | LLDLD | 0.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| New York Red Bulls | WLWWL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Apr 2026 · New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - San Diego vs Houston Dynamo · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–3 - Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–3 - St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–0 - Inter Miami vs New York City FC · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Columbus Crew vs Charlotte · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–3