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Serie B · Italy
Cremonese vs Juve Stabia prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cremonese host Juve Stabia in the Serie B (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cremonese had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Juve Stabia had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cremonese's last 10 and 6 of Juve Stabia's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cremonese averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Juve Stabia averaged 1.42 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Cremonese and 1.09 from Juve Stabia. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 52%, 28% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | LDWWD | 1.20 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
| Juve Stabia | WDDDD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Cremonese Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Arezzo vs Benevento · 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Catanzaro vs Ascoli · 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 - Avellino vs Padova · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Virtus Entella vs Mantova · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Modena vs Cesena · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sudtirol vs Sampdoria · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36