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Serie B · Italy
Virtus Entella vs Mantova prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Virtus Entella host Mantova in the Serie B (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Virtus Entella had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Mantova had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Virtus Entella's last 10 and 6 of Mantova's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Virtus Entella averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mantova averaged 2.00 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Virtus Entella and 1.68 from Mantova. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 43%, against 42%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | WDDWD | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Mantova | LWDWD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Arezzo vs Benevento · 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Catanzaro vs Ascoli · 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 - Avellino vs Padova · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cremonese vs Juve Stabia · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Modena vs Cesena · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sudtirol vs Sampdoria · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36