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Serie B · Italy
Arezzo vs Benevento prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arezzo host Benevento in the Serie B (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Arezzo had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Benevento had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Arezzo's last 10 and 7 of Benevento's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arezzo averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Benevento averaged 1.56 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Arezzo and 1.72 from Benevento. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 46%, against 30%, 30% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Benevento 1–0 Arezzo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Benevento Win | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Catanzaro vs Ascoli · 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 - Avellino vs Padova · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cremonese vs Juve Stabia · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Virtus Entella vs Mantova · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Modena vs Cesena · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sudtirol vs Sampdoria · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36