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Serie B · Italy

Modena vs Cesena prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Modena host Cesena in the Serie B (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Modena had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Cesena had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Modena's last 10 and 6 of Cesena's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Modena averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Cesena averaged 0.38 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Modena and 0.77 from Cesena. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 22%, against 60%, 25% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ModenaLWWDL1.501.1060%60%
CesenaDLDDD1.101.2060%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1278%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals66%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
Modena Win61%1.57
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.73
Under 9.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Serie B matches that day