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Serie B · Italy

Avellino vs Padova prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 70%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Avellino host Padova in the Serie B (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Avellino had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Padova had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Avellino's last 10 and 5 of Padova's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avellino averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Padova averaged 1.44 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Avellino and 1.18 from Padova. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 22%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
AvellinoDWLDW1.601.8070%60%
PadovaLLLWL1.101.4050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X72%1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals70%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.70
Under 9.5 Corners52%1.82
BTTS Yes51%1.91
Over 2.5 Goals46%2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Serie B matches that day