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FAW Championship · Wales

Carmarthen Town vs Caerphilly Athletic prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Carmarthen Town host Caerphilly Athletic in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Carmarthen Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 23. Caerphilly Athletic had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 10 of Carmarthen Town's last 10 and 6 of Caerphilly Athletic's last 10; 10 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carmarthen Town averaged 2.50 goals scored and 2.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Caerphilly Athletic averaged 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Carmarthen Town and 2.06 from Caerphilly Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 38%. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Carmarthen Town (green) and Caerphilly Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence55% – 45%
Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Carmarthen TownLDLWD2.202.30100%100%
Caerphilly AthleticWWLLL1.301.6060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other FAW Championship matches that day