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Virsliga · Latvia
Auda vs FS Jelgava prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ķekavas stadions, Kekava
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Auda host FS Jelgava in the Virsliga (Latvia) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Auda Draw No Bet — Auda Draw No Bet. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Auda had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. FS Jelgava had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Auda's last 10 and 4 of FS Jelgava's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Auda averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.72 conceded across 18 matches; away from home FS Jelgava averaged 1.19 scored and 1.94 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Auda and 0.73 from FS Jelgava. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 13%, against 62%, 21% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Auda (green) and FS Jelgava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auda | WLWDW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 50% |
| FS Jelgava | LLLLD | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · FS Jelgava 0–1 Auda
- 13 Jun 2026 · Auda 1–1 FS Jelgava
- 21 Apr 2026 · FS Jelgava 2–3 Auda
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Auda Win | 65% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Auda HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Virsliga matches that day
- BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - FK Liepaja vs Super Nova · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Ogre United vs Riga · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 - Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.62