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Virsliga · Latvia
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Stadions Arkadija, Riga
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rīgas FS host Grobiņa in the Virsliga (Latvia) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rīgas FS had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 10. Grobiņa had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rīgas FS's last 10 and 7 of Grobiņa's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rīgas FS averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.95 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Grobiņa averaged 0.60 scored and 2.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.53 goals from Rīgas FS and 0.52 from Grobiņa. From that it rates a home win at 90%, a draw at 7% and an away win at 2%, against 85%, 10% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rīgas FS (green) and Grobiņa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Aug 2026 · Rīgas FS 6–1 Grobiņa
- 13 Jun 2026 · Grobiņa 1–3 Rīgas FS
- 22 Apr 2026 · Grobiņa 0–1 Rīgas FS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS HT & FT | 67% | 1.44 |
| Rīgas FS 1st Half Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 3-0 | 14% | 7.00 |
| 2-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
| 4-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Virsliga matches that day
- Auda vs FS Jelgava · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Auda Draw No Bet @ 1.20 - BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - FK Liepaja vs Super Nova · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Ogre United vs Riga · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67