Home › League stats › Virsliga › Ogre United vs Riga
Virsliga · Latvia
Ogre United vs Riga prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ogre United host Riga in the Virsliga (Latvia) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ogre United had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 23. Riga had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ogre United's last 10 and 7 of Riga's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ogre United averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Riga averaged 2.23 scored and 1.18 conceded across 22.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Ogre United and 3.61 from Riga. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 10% and an away win at 84%, against 4%, 9% and 86% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ogre United (green) and Riga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre United | LLLWL | 1.10 | 2.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Riga | WDWDW | 1.80 | 0.90 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Riga 4–1 Ogre United
- 13 Jun 2026 · Ogre United 1–4 Riga
- 22 Apr 2026 · Riga 4–0 Ogre United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Riga HT & FT | 72% | 1.33 |
| Riga 1st Half Win | 70% | 1.28 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| 0-3 | 13% | 7.50 |
| 0-4 | 12% | 8.00 |
| 0-2 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Virsliga matches that day
- Auda vs FS Jelgava · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Auda Draw No Bet @ 1.20 - BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - FK Liepaja vs Super Nova · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Virsliga
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.62