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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Warta Sieradz host Wisła Płock II in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II.
Going into the match, Warta Sieradz had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Wisła Płock II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Warta Sieradz's last 10 and 7 of Wisła Płock II's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warta Sieradz averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Wisła Płock II averaged 1.45 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Warta Sieradz and 1.35 from Wisła Płock II. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 30%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | LDDWW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Wisła Płock II | WLWLD | 1.90 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Warta Sieradz 1–1 Wisła Płock II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Warta Sieradz Win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 1 matches that day
- Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Olimpia Zambrów Win @ 1.40 - Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–2 - Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - ŁKS Łódź II vs Olimpia Elbląg · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49