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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Łomża host Olimpia Zambrów in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Olimpia Zambrów Win — Olimpia Zambrów to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Łomża 0–2 Olimpia Zambrów.
Going into the match, Łomża had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Olimpia Zambrów had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Łomża's last 10 and 8 of Olimpia Zambrów's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Łomża averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Olimpia Zambrów averaged 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Łomża and 2.12 from Olimpia Zambrów. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 51%, against 16%, 20% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Łomża (green) and Olimpia Zambrów (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | LLLDL | 0.80 | 2.20 | 50% | 40% |
| Olimpia Zambrów | WWLDD | 2.10 | 2.30 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| Olimpia Zambrów Win | 65% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
| Olimpia Zambrów HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| 1-2 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 1 matches that day
- Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–2 - Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - ŁKS Łódź II vs Olimpia Elbląg · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49