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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pelikan Łowicz host Wigry Suwałki in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pelikan Łowicz 1–4 Wigry Suwałki.
Going into the match, Pelikan Łowicz had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Wigry Suwałki had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Pelikan Łowicz's last 10 and 7 of Wigry Suwałki's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pelikan Łowicz averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Wigry Suwałki averaged 1.92 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Pelikan Łowicz and 1.73 from Wigry Suwałki. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 51%, against 37%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pelikan Łowicz (green) and Wigry Suwałki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | WDWWL | 1.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Wigry Suwałki | WWWWD | 1.90 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Wigry Suwałki Win | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 1 matches that day
- Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Olimpia Zambrów Win @ 1.40 - Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–2 - ŁKS Łódź II vs Olimpia Elbląg · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49