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J2 League · Japan
Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vegalta Sendai host Imabari in the J2 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vegalta Sendai 3–1 Imabari.
Going into the match, Vegalta Sendai had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 12. Imabari had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Vegalta Sendai's last 10 and 7 of Imabari's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vegalta Sendai averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Imabari averaged 1.00 scored and 1.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Vegalta Sendai and 1.17 from Imabari. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 63%, 22% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vegalta Sendai (green) and Imabari (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegalta Sendai | DWWWW | 2.00 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Imabari | DWWLL | 1.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Vegalta Sendai Win | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Blaublitz Akita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Tokushima Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–1 - Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 0–2