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J2 League · Japan
Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Omiya Ardija host Kataller Toyama in the J2 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Omiya Ardija 0–3 Kataller Toyama.
Going into the match, Omiya Ardija had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Kataller Toyama had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Omiya Ardija's last 10 and 7 of Kataller Toyama's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Omiya Ardija averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kataller Toyama averaged 1.54 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Omiya Ardija and 1.60 from Kataller Toyama. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 37%, against 43%, 25% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Omiya Ardija (green) and Kataller Toyama (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija | LWLDW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 80% | 60% |
| Kataller Toyama | DDWLD | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Blaublitz Akita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Tokushima Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–1 - Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 0–2