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J2 League · Japan
Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tochigi City host Fujieda MYFC in the J2 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tochigi City 2–2 Fujieda MYFC.
Going into the match, Tochigi City had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Fujieda MYFC had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tochigi City's last 10 and 5 of Fujieda MYFC's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tochigi City averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Fujieda MYFC averaged 1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Tochigi City and 1.05 from Fujieda MYFC. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tochigi City (green) and Fujieda MYFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi City | DLLLL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| Fujieda MYFC | DLDLD | 0.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Blaublitz Akita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Tokushima Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–1 - Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 0–2