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J2 League · Japan
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shonan Bellmare host Iwaki in the J2 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki.
Going into the match, Shonan Bellmare had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Iwaki had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Shonan Bellmare's last 10 and 3 of Iwaki's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shonan Bellmare averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Iwaki averaged 1.13 scored and 1.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Shonan Bellmare and 0.99 from Iwaki. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 25%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shonan Bellmare (green) and Iwaki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare | DDLDW | 1.30 | 1.70 | 80% | 50% |
| Iwaki | WWLLL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Shonan Bellmare Win | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Blaublitz Akita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Tokushima Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–1 - Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 0–2