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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
UD Logroñés vs Cultural Leonesa prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UD Logroñés host Cultural Leonesa in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: UD Logroñés 1–1 Cultural Leonesa.
Going into the match, UD Logroñés had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 12. Cultural Leonesa had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of UD Logroñés's last 10 and 3 of Cultural Leonesa's last 10; 9 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UD Logroñés averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Cultural Leonesa averaged 0.45 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from UD Logroñés and 0.81 from Cultural Leonesa. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 46%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UD Logroñés (green) and Cultural Leonesa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | LWWDW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 90% |
| Cultural Leonesa | WLDWL | 1.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
| UD Logroñés Win | 45% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- UD Logroñés form and statistics
- Cultural Leonesa form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Real Avilés vs UD Ourense · 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 3–0 - Pontevedra vs Cacereño · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Arenas Getxo vs Mérida AD · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–4 - CD Coria vs Athletic Club II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1