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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
CD Coria vs Athletic Club II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CD Coria host Athletic Club II in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CD Coria 2–1 Athletic Club II.
Going into the match, CD Coria had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Athletic Club II had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of CD Coria's last 10 and 5 of Athletic Club II's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CD Coria averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Athletic Club II averaged 1.27 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from CD Coria and 1.38 from Athletic Club II. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 34%, against 31%, 28% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CD Coria (green) and Athletic Club II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Coria | LLDDL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
| Athletic Club II | DLWDW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- CD Coria form and statistics
- Athletic Club II form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- UD Logroñés vs Cultural Leonesa · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Real Avilés vs UD Ourense · 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 3–0 - Pontevedra vs Cacereño · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Arenas Getxo vs Mérida AD · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–4