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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Pontevedra vs Cacereño prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pontevedra host Cacereño in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pontevedra 1–0 Cacereño.
Going into the match, Pontevedra had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Cacereño had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Pontevedra's last 10 and 3 of Cacereño's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pontevedra averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Cacereño averaged 1.11 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Pontevedra and 1.03 from Cacereño. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 33%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pontevedra (green) and Cacereño (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra | LLDDL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Cacereño | DLDWL | 1.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Pontevedra Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Pontevedra form and statistics
- Cacereño form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- UD Logroñés vs Cultural Leonesa · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Real Avilés vs UD Ourense · 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 3–0 - Arenas Getxo vs Mérida AD · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–4 - CD Coria vs Athletic Club II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1