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Premier League · Wales
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
The New Saints host Ammanford AFC in the Premier League (Wales) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, The New Saints had won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 38 and conceding 7. Ammanford AFC had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of The New Saints's last 10 and 5 of Ammanford AFC's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home The New Saints averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ammanford AFC averaged 1.22 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 4.07 goals from The New Saints and 0.42 from Ammanford AFC. From that it rates a home win at 95%, a draw at 4% and an away win at 1%, against 94%, 5% and 1% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between The New Saints (green) and Ammanford AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | WWWWW | 3.80 | 0.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Ammanford AFC | WWWLL | 1.10 | 2.60 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.65 |
| 4-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Holywell vs Penybont · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Trefelin vs Flint Town United · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50