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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Tenerife II vs Mijas Las Lagunas prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tenerife II host Mijas Las Lagunas in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Tenerife II Win — Tenerife II to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tenerife II 1–3 Mijas Las Lagunas.
Going into the match, Tenerife II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Mijas Las Lagunas had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tenerife II's last 10 and 6 of Mijas Las Lagunas's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tenerife II averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mijas Las Lagunas averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Tenerife II and 2.10 from Mijas Las Lagunas. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 46%, against 55%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 32%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tenerife II (green) and Mijas Las Lagunas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife II | DLWWW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | WDWDD | 2.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Tenerife II Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Tenerife II HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Tenerife II form and statistics
- Mijas Las Lagunas form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches that day
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Tamaraceite vs Real Betis II · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Antoniano vs Sevilla Atletico · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
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Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Marbella vs Estepona · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25