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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Don Benito vs Atlético Central prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Don Benito host Atlético Central in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Don Benito to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Don Benito 4–2 Atlético Central.
Going into the match, Don Benito had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Atlético Central had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Don Benito's last 10 and 6 of Atlético Central's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Don Benito averaged 3.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Atlético Central averaged 0.89 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.37 goals from Don Benito and 1.19 from Atlético Central. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Don Benito (green) and Atlético Central (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | LLWDW | 2.00 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Atlético Central | LLWLL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Don Benito Win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Don Benito HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Don Benito form and statistics
- Atlético Central form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches that day
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