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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Badajoz vs Sanluqueño prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Badajoz host Sanluqueño in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Badajoz 1–0 Sanluqueño.
Going into the match, Badajoz had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Sanluqueño had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Badajoz's last 10 and 5 of Sanluqueño's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Badajoz averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sanluqueño averaged 0.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Badajoz and 0.55 from Sanluqueño. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 11%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Badajoz (green) and Sanluqueño (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | WDDLW | 1.20 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
| Sanluqueño | DDLDW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Badajoz Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Badajoz HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches that day
- Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–1 - Don Benito vs Atlético Central · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
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Published pick: Real Betis II Win @ 1.50 - Las Palmas II vs Puente Genil · 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Antoniano vs Sevilla Atletico · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 3–3 - Linares Deportivo vs Recreativo Huelva · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Marbella vs Estepona · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Tenerife II vs Mijas Las Lagunas · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Tenerife II Win @ 1.65 · FT 1–3