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Premier League · England
Sunderland vs Leeds prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sunderland host Leeds in the Premier League (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sunderland had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Leeds had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sunderland's last 10 and 6 of Leeds's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sunderland averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leeds averaged 1.50 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Sunderland and 1.14 from Leeds. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 34%, against 32%, 30% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sunderland (green) and Leeds (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | DLWLL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 40% | 20% |
| Leeds | DLDWL | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Jul 2026 · Sunderland 0–1 Leeds
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Crystal Palace vs Newcastle · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Hull City vs Brentford · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Liverpool vs Brighton · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Manchester United vs Bournemouth · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50