Home › League stats › Premier League › Liverpool vs Brighton
Premier League · England
Liverpool vs Brighton prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Liverpool host Brighton in the Premier League (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Liverpool had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 14. Brighton had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Liverpool's last 10 and 3 of Brighton's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Liverpool averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Brighton averaged 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Liverpool and 1.88 from Brighton. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 50%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Liverpool (green) and Brighton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Sunderland vs Leeds · 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Crystal Palace vs Newcastle · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Hull City vs Brentford · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Manchester United vs Bournemouth · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50