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Premier League · England
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Crystal Palace host Newcastle in the Premier League (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Crystal Palace had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 18. Newcastle had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Crystal Palace's last 10 and 7 of Newcastle's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crystal Palace averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Newcastle averaged 1.00 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.40 from Newcastle. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 25%, against 33%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Crystal Palace (green) and Newcastle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | DLLWL | 1.90 | 1.80 | 50% | 80% |
| Newcastle | LLWLW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Newcastle Win | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Sunderland vs Leeds · 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Hull City vs Brentford · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Liverpool vs Brighton · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Manchester United vs Bournemouth · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50