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Premier League · England
Hull City vs Brentford prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hull City host Brentford in the Premier League (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hull City had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Brentford had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hull City's last 10 and 7 of Brentford's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hull City averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Brentford averaged 2.11 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Hull City and 1.33 from Brentford. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 47%, against 19%, 25% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hull City (green) and Brentford (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Sunderland vs Leeds · 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Crystal Palace vs Newcastle · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Liverpool vs Brighton · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Manchester United vs Bournemouth · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50