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League One · England
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stevenage host Milton Keynes Dons in the League One (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Stevenage to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stevenage had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Milton Keynes Dons had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Stevenage's last 10 and 7 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stevenage averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Milton Keynes Dons averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Stevenage and 1.02 from Milton Keynes Dons. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 45%, 27% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stevenage (green) and Milton Keynes Dons (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | WLWWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
| Milton Keynes Dons | LWLWW | 1.90 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Stevenage Win | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44