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League One · England
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Blackpool host Mansfield Town in the League One (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Blackpool had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Mansfield Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Blackpool's last 10 and 5 of Mansfield Town's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Blackpool averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Mansfield Town averaged 1.46 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Blackpool and 1.73 from Mansfield Town. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 36%, against 35%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Blackpool (green) and Mansfield Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | WLLDL | 1.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Mansfield Town | WDWLD | 1.40 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bromley vs Peterborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 - Cambridge United vs Plymouth · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Notts County vs Stockport County · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.57 - Oxford United vs Bradford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Reading vs Barnsley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Huddersfield vs Wigan · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Luton vs Leicester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44