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AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Wimbledon host Wycombe in the League One (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AFC Wimbledon had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Wycombe had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 10 and 8 of Wycombe's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Wimbledon averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Wycombe averaged 1.60 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from AFC Wimbledon and 1.72 from Wycombe. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 25%, 25% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Wimbledon (green) and Wycombe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | LLLDD | 0.70 | 1.50 | 30% | 40% |
| Wycombe | DWLWD | 2.10 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Blackpool vs Mansfield Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Bromley vs Peterborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Notts County vs Stockport County · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.57 - Oxford United vs Bradford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Reading vs Barnsley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Huddersfield vs Wigan · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Luton vs Leicester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44