Home › League stats › League One › Luton vs Leicester
League One · England
Luton vs Leicester prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Luton host Leicester in the League One (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Luton had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Leicester had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Luton's last 10 and 6 of Leicester's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Luton averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leicester averaged 1.69 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Luton and 1.38 from Leicester. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Luton (green) and Leicester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Blackpool vs Mansfield Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Bromley vs Peterborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 - Cambridge United vs Plymouth · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Notts County vs Stockport County · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.57 - Oxford United vs Bradford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Reading vs Barnsley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Huddersfield vs Wigan · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53