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League One · England
Notts County vs Stockport County prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Notts County host Stockport County in the League One (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Stockport County Win — Stockport County to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Notts County had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Stockport County had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Notts County's last 10 and 3 of Stockport County's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Notts County averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Stockport County averaged 1.77 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Notts County and 1.38 from Stockport County. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 43%, against 16%, 25% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Notts County (green) and Stockport County (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | WLWLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Stockport County | WWWWW | 2.10 | 0.80 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Stockport County Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Blackpool vs Mansfield Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Bromley vs Peterborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 - Cambridge United vs Plymouth · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Oxford United vs Bradford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Reading vs Barnsley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Huddersfield vs Wigan · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Luton vs Leicester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44