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Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stade Brestois 29 host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (France) on 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stade Brestois 29 had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Lyon had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Stade Brestois 29's last 10 and 5 of Lyon's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stade Brestois 29 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lyon averaged 0.85 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Stade Brestois 29 and 1.71 from Lyon. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 48%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stade Brestois 29 (green) and Lyon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | WLDWD | 1.80 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
| Lyon | DWLLW | 1.50 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lens vs Marseille · 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angers vs Nice · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Le Havre vs Lorient · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Le Mans vs Monaco · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Rennes vs Lille · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44