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Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre vs Lorient prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Stade Océane, Le Havre
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Le Havre host Lorient in the Ligue 1 (France) on 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Le Havre had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Lorient had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Le Havre's last 10 and 4 of Lorient's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Le Havre averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Lorient averaged 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Le Havre and 1.10 from Lorient. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 33%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Le Havre (green) and Lorient (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Lorient 0–2 Le Havre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lens vs Marseille · 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angers vs Nice · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Le Mans vs Monaco · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Rennes vs Lille · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44