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Ligue 1 · France
Le Mans vs Monaco prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · MMArena, Le Mans
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Le Mans host Monaco in the Ligue 1 (France) on 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Le Mans had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Monaco had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Le Mans's last 10 and 7 of Monaco's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Le Mans averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Monaco averaged 1.62 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Le Mans and 1.97 from Monaco. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 61%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Le Mans (green) and Monaco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lens vs Marseille · 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angers vs Nice · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Le Havre vs Lorient · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rennes vs Lille · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44