Home › League stats › Ligue 1 › Rennes vs Lille
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes vs Lille prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rennes host Lille in the Ligue 1 (France) on 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rennes had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Lille had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rennes's last 10 and 5 of Lille's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rennes averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Lille averaged 1.42 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Rennes and 1.47 from Lille. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rennes (green) and Lille (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lens vs Marseille · 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angers vs Nice · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Le Havre vs Lorient · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Le Mans vs Monaco · 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62