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Primera División · Peru
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Cristal host Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División (Peru) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Cristal 4–2 Comerciantes Unidos.
Going into the match, Sporting Cristal had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 8. Comerciantes Unidos had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sporting Cristal's last 10 and 8 of Comerciantes Unidos's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Cristal averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Comerciantes Unidos averaged 1.09 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Sporting Cristal and 0.86 from Comerciantes Unidos. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 10%, against 72%, 18% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Cristal (green) and Comerciantes Unidos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | WWWWW | 2.60 | 0.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Comerciantes Unidos | DLLDL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 Sporting Cristal
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Sporting Cristal Win | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Sporting Cristal 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Sporting Cristal HT & FT | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Sporting Cristal form and statistics
- Comerciantes Unidos form and statistics
- Primera División statistics
Other Primera División matches that day
- Alianza Atletico vs Universitario · 18 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua · 18 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau · 18 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 4–2