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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting CP host Lask Linz in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz.
Going into the match, Sporting CP had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 10. Lask Linz had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting CP's last 10 and 6 of Lask Linz's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting CP averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Lask Linz averaged 2.88 scored and 1.12 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Sporting CP and 1.69 from Lask Linz. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 24%, against 80%, 13% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting CP (green) and Lask Linz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | WWDDW | 2.50 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
| Lask Linz | WLLWD | 2.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP Win | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Sporting CP 1st Half Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Sporting CP HT & FT | 60% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
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