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UEFA Champions League · International
Aston Villa vs Viking prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aston Villa host Viking in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aston Villa 3–1 Viking.
Going into the match, Aston Villa had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 11. Viking had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Aston Villa's last 10 and 7 of Viking's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aston Villa averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Viking averaged 1.73 scored and 1.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.55 goals from Aston Villa and 1.28 from Viking. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 17%, against 78%, 15% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aston Villa (green) and Viking (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | WWDWW | 2.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Viking | WDWWW | 2.90 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa Win | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Aston Villa 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Aston Villa HT & FT | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Real Betis vs Feyenoord · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–4