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UEFA Champions League · International
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk.
Going into the match, Inter had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 15. Shakhtar Donetsk had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Inter's last 10 and 4 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inter averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 2.22 scored and 0.83 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Inter and 1.28 from Shakhtar Donetsk. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 30%, against 78%, 14% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inter (green) and Shakhtar Donetsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | WLWWD | 2.70 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | WWWWW | 2.20 | 0.60 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Win | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Inter 1st Half Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Inter HT & FT | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Aston Villa vs Viking · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 · FT 3–1 - Bayern München vs Arsenal · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Real Betis vs Feyenoord · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Club Brugge KV vs Lens · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–0 - Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 4–1 - Sporting CP vs Lask Linz · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 · FT 2–3 - Como vs Manchester United · 21 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 4–1 - Lille vs Galatasaray · 21 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–4