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UEFA Champions League · International
Lille vs Galatasaray prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lille host Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lille 2–4 Galatasaray.
Going into the match, Lille had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Galatasaray had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lille's last 10 and 6 of Galatasaray's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lille averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Galatasaray averaged 2.09 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Lille and 1.41 from Galatasaray. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 20%, against 44%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lille (green) and Galatasaray (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | DLWWL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Galatasaray | WLWDL | 2.00 | 1.90 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Lille Win | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Aston Villa vs Viking · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 · FT 3–1 - Bayern München vs Arsenal · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Real Betis vs Feyenoord · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Club Brugge KV vs Lens · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–0 - Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 4–1 - Sporting CP vs Lask Linz · 21 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 · FT 2–3 - Como vs Manchester United · 21 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 4–1