Home › League stats › Serie C - Girone C › Sorrento vs Casertana
Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Sorrento vs Casertana prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sorrento host Casertana in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sorrento 0–0 Casertana.
Going into the match, Sorrento had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Casertana had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sorrento's last 10 and 7 of Casertana's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sorrento averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Casertana averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Sorrento and 0.83 from Casertana. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 24%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sorrento (green) and Casertana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone C matches that day
- Barletta vs AZ Picerno · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Bari vs Crotone · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 0–0 - Audace Cerignola vs Savoia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–0 - Cavese vs Casarano · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 5–2 - Cosenza vs Team Altamura · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40