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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Barletta vs AZ Picerno prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barletta host AZ Picerno in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barletta 1–0 AZ Picerno.
Going into the match, Barletta had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. AZ Picerno had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Barletta's last 10 and 8 of AZ Picerno's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barletta averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home AZ Picerno averaged 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Barletta and 1.36 from AZ Picerno. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barletta (green) and AZ Picerno (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barletta | DLLDD | 1.30 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| AZ Picerno | LLWLL | 1.80 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Aug 2026 · AZ Picerno 2–1 Barletta
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone C matches that day
- Sorrento vs Casertana · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Bari vs Crotone · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 0–0 - Audace Cerignola vs Savoia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–0 - Cavese vs Casarano · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 5–2 - Cosenza vs Team Altamura · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40