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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Cavese vs Casarano prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cavese host Casarano in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cavese 5–2 Casarano.
Going into the match, Cavese had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Casarano had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cavese's last 10 and 4 of Casarano's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cavese averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Casarano averaged 1.64 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Cavese and 1.40 from Casarano. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 26%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cavese (green) and Casarano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone C matches that day
- Barletta vs AZ Picerno · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Sorrento vs Casertana · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Bari vs Crotone · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 0–0 - Audace Cerignola vs Savoia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–0 - Cosenza vs Team Altamura · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40