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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Audace Cerignola vs Savoia prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Audace Cerignola host Savoia in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Audace Cerignola 4–0 Savoia.
Going into the match, Audace Cerignola had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Savoia had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Audace Cerignola's last 10 and 6 of Savoia's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Audace Cerignola averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Savoia averaged 1.70 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Audace Cerignola and 0.99 from Savoia. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 20%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Audace Cerignola (green) and Savoia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | WDLDL | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Savoia | WDLDD | 1.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone C matches that day
- Barletta vs AZ Picerno · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Sorrento vs Casertana · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Bari vs Crotone · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 0–0 - Cavese vs Casarano · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 5–2 - Cosenza vs Team Altamura · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40