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Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shamrock Rovers host Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Shamrock Rovers had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Sligo Rovers had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Shamrock Rovers's last 10 and 3 of Sligo Rovers's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shamrock Rovers averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Sligo Rovers averaged 0.86 scored and 2.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.19 goals from Shamrock Rovers and 0.86 from Sligo Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 12%, against 82%, 13% and 5% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shamrock Rovers (green) and Sligo Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | LWWWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Sligo Rovers | DLLLL | 0.70 | 2.00 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Jul 2026 · Sligo Rovers 1–2 Shamrock Rovers
- 22 May 2026 · Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Shamrock Rovers 1st Half Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| Shamrock Rovers HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- Bohemians vs Shelbourne · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Derry City vs Dundalk · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Waterford vs Drogheda United · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44